Heerenveen vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sun 12 Mar, 13:30
Heerenveen
24 Full time
Ajax
Heerenveen 2–4 Ajax

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (67%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 15%
Draw 18%
Away 67%

💡 Ajax are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 80.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 80.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1460 v 1649 Ajax rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 3.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Heerenveen v Ajax

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Why we predict this

  • Ajax is the stronger side on Power Rating (1649 vs 1460).
  • Ajax is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ajax
Form Index
Ajax
Goal expectation
Ajax
Home advantage
Heerenveen

Green = favours Heerenveen · Blue = favours Ajax. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HeerenveenLLWLD0.8 ppg
AjaxWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Heerenveen1460
Ajax1649
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model10% · 18% · 73%
Power Rating28% · 16% · 56%
Machine-learning14% · 21% · 65%

AI match preview

Heerenveen face a tough challenge at home against Ajax, with the model giving the visitors a 67% chance to secure the win and an expected goals tally of 2.59 compared to Heerenveen's 0.91. A 0-2 scoreline is the most likely outcome, supported by a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance both teams will score. These projections are based on statistical analysis; please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.91 – 2.59

Most likely score

0-2

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 68%

Under 32%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Heerenveen 2–4 Ajax
Sept 2022 Ajax 5–0 Heerenveen