Waalwijk vs Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sat 18 Mar, 20:00
Waalwijk
13 Full time
Nijmegen
Waalwijk 1–3 Nijmegen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 27%
Away 34%

💡 Waalwijk have a slight edge — leaning Waalwijk, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1517 v 1517 Evenly matched
Form Index 1.4 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1517 vs 1517).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Nijmegen
Goal expectation
Waalwijk
Home advantage
Waalwijk

Green = favours Waalwijk · Blue = favours Nijmegen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WaalwijkDLWWL1.4 ppg
NijmegenDWWLD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Waalwijk1517
Nijmegen1517
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 32% · 23%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning40% · 29% · 31%

AI match preview

Waalwijk hosts Nijmegen in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 39%, though a draw or away victory remain close possibilities. Expected goals suggest a modest scoring game with 1.31 for Waalwijk and 0.86 for Nijmegen, aligning with the most likely 1-1 scoreline. With both teams to score at 44% and over 2.5 goals at just 37%, this match could hinge on tight defenses and key moments—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.31 – 0.86

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Waalwijk 1–3 Nijmegen
Nov 2022 Nijmegen 6–1 Waalwijk