Ajax vs Feyenoord Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sun 19 Mar, 13:30
Ajax
23 Full time
Feyenoord
Ajax 2–3 Feyenoord

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 25%
Away 24%

💡 Ajax are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1660 v 1662 Feyenoord rated higher
Form Index 3.0 v 3.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ajax v Feyenoord

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1660 vs 1662).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Ajax
Home advantage
Ajax

Green = favours Ajax · Blue = favours Feyenoord. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AjaxWWWWW3.0 ppg
FeyenoordWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Ajax1660
Feyenoord1662
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 22% · 24%
Power Rating46% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning50% · 30% · 20%

AI match preview

Ajax and Feyenoord face off in a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 51% probability of a win. The match is expected to be competitive, with an anticipated 2.24 goals for Ajax and 1.46 for Feyenoord, and a 70% chance both teams will score. While a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline, over 2.5 goals is also favored at 72%, highlighting the potential for an open game; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.24 – 1.46

Most likely score

1-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 72%

Under 28%

Both teams to score

Yes 70%

No 30%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Stadium & conditions

Johan Cruijff ArenA Amsterdam, Netherlands Capacity 55,865 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Ajax 2–3 Feyenoord
Jan 2023 Feyenoord 1–1 Ajax