Excelsior vs Cambuur Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sun 19 Mar, 13:30
Excelsior
41 Full time
Cambuur
Excelsior 4–1 Cambuur

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 27%
Away 35%

💡 Excelsior have a slight edge — leaning Excelsior, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1354 v 1379 Cambuur rated higher
Form Index 0.0 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Excelsior v Cambuur

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1354 vs 1379).
  • Cambuur is in clearly better recent form (0.8 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Cambuur
Form Index
Excelsior
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Excelsior

Green = favours Excelsior · Blue = favours Cambuur. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ExcelsiorLLLLL0.0 ppg
CambuurDLLWL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Excelsior1354
Cambuur1379
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 31% · 35%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning33% · 27% · 39%

AI match preview

Excelsior and Cambuur are set for a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 38%, while a draw and away win remain plausible outcomes at 27% and 35% respectively. Both teams are expected to score around 1.2 goals each, suggesting a balanced match that could end in a 1-1 draw, which is also the most likely scoreline. With a 50% chance for both teams to score and under 2.5 goals favored, this game promises tight action—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.20

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Excelsior 4–1 Cambuur
Aug 2022 Cambuur 0–2 Excelsior