Vitesse vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sun 19 Mar, 15:45
Vitesse
11 Full time
PSV Eindhoven
Vitesse 1–1 PSV Eindhoven

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (62%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 18%
Draw 20%
Away 62%

💡 PSV Eindhoven are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 73.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 73.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1444 v 1616 PSV Eindhoven rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 2.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vitesse v PSV Eindhoven

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Why we predict this

  • PSV Eindhoven is the stronger side on Power Rating (1616 vs 1444).
  • PSV Eindhoven is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven
Form Index
PSV Eindhoven
Goal expectation
PSV Eindhoven
Home advantage
Vitesse

Green = favours Vitesse · Blue = favours PSV Eindhoven. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VitesseWLLLL0.6 ppg
PSV EindhovenWDWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Vitesse1444
PSV Eindhoven1616
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model14% · 19% · 67%
Power Rating29% · 17% · 54%
Machine-learning15% · 21% · 65%

AI match preview

PSV Eindhoven enter this Eredivisie clash with a strong statistical edge, holding a 62% probability to claim victory against Vitesse, who have just an 18% chance at home. The model anticipates an open game with a likely 1-2 scoreline, supported by a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% probability that both teams will find the net. While the data favors an away win, these projections are probabilistic and should be used responsibly—gamble only if you're 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.19 – 2.60

Most likely score

1-2

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 73%

Under 27%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Vitesse 1–1 PSV Eindhoven
Jan 2023 PSV Eindhoven 1–0 Vitesse