AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sat 1 Apr, 16:30
AZ Alkmaar
11 Full time
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Heerenveen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (57%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 57%
Draw 23%
Away 20%

💡 AZ Alkmaar are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1600 v 1466 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on AZ Alkmaar v Heerenveen

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Why we predict this

  • AZ Alkmaar is the stronger side on Power Rating (1600 vs 1466).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar
Form Index
AZ Alkmaar
Goal expectation
AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage
AZ Alkmaar

Green = favours AZ Alkmaar · Blue = favours Heerenveen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AZ AlkmaarLWWWL1.8 ppg
HeerenveenWLDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar1600
Heerenveen1466
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 29% · 29%
Power Rating67% · 12% · 21%
Machine-learning50% · 28% · 22%

AI match preview

AZ Alkmaar enter this Eredivisie clash with a 57% probability of securing a home victory, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 23%, supported by a closely matched expected goals tally of 1.47 to 1.18. The model suggests a tight encounter, with 1-1 as the most likely scoreline and a moderate 55% chance both teams will score. While just under half the projections favor over 2.5 goals, these stats offer insights rather than certainties—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.18

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Heerenveen
Jan 2023 Heerenveen 0–2 AZ Alkmaar