Excelsior vs Twente Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sat 1 Apr, 18:45
Excelsior
00 Full time
Twente
Excelsior 0–0 Twente

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (58%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 22%
Away 58%

💡 Twente are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 68.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 68.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1371 v 1581 Twente rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Excelsior v Twente

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Why we predict this

  • Twente is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1371).
  • Twente is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Twente
Form Index
Twente
Goal expectation
Twente
Home advantage
Excelsior

Green = favours Excelsior · Blue = favours Twente. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ExcelsiorLLLLW0.6 ppg
TwenteLLDWW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Excelsior1371
Twente1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 32% · 40%
Power Rating26% · 14% · 60%
Machine-learning21% · 26% · 53%

AI match preview

Excelsior host Twente in an Eredivisie clash where the visitors hold a 58% chance of victory according to model projections, though a draw remains a plausible outcome with a 22% probability. Expected goals suggest a tight contest, averaging around 1.03 for Excelsior and 1.26 for Twente, with 1-1 emerging as the most likely scoreline. With only a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% probability of both teams scoring, this match could be closely contested; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.26

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Excelsior 0–0 Twente
Aug 2022 Twente 4–0 Excelsior