Waalwijk vs Vitesse Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sat 1 Apr, 21:00
Waalwijk
10 Full time
Vitesse
Waalwijk 1–0 Vitesse

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 26%
Away 30%

💡 Waalwijk have a slight edge — leaning Waalwijk, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1498 v 1447 Waalwijk rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Waalwijk is the stronger side on Power Rating (1498 vs 1447).
  • Waalwijk is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Waalwijk
Form Index
Waalwijk
Goal expectation
Waalwijk
Home advantage
Waalwijk

Green = favours Waalwijk · Blue = favours Vitesse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WaalwijkLWWLL1.2 ppg
VitesseLLLLD0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Waalwijk1498
Vitesse1447
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 25% · 25%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning53% · 30% · 17%

AI match preview

Waalwijk hosts Vitesse in an Eredivisie clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 45% chance of victory, though a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. The model projects 1.95 expected goals for Waalwijk against 1.33 for Vitesse, suggesting a competitive game with a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 64% probability for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.33

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Waalwijk 1–0 Vitesse
Aug 2022 Vitesse 2–2 Waalwijk