AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sat 8 Apr, 20:00
AZ Alkmaar
01 Full time
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 24%
Away 23%

💡 AZ Alkmaar are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1594 v 1552 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on AZ Alkmaar v Sparta Rotterdam

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Why we predict this

  • AZ Alkmaar is the stronger side on Power Rating (1594 vs 1552).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar
Form Index
AZ Alkmaar
Goal expectation
AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage
AZ Alkmaar

Green = favours AZ Alkmaar · Blue = favours Sparta Rotterdam. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AZ AlkmaarWWWLD2.0 ppg
Sparta RotterdamLWWWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar1594
Sparta Rotterdam1552
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 29% · 32%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning45% · 30% · 25%

AI match preview

AZ Alkmaar holds a slight edge with a 53% chance of victory against Sparta Rotterdam, though a draw remains a plausible outcome at 24%. The expected goals tally is tight, 1.43 for AZ and 1.28 for Sparta, suggesting a competitive match potentially ending in a 1-1 draw. With a 57% probability for both teams to score and a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate an engaging contest; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.28

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 AZ Alkmaar 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam
Aug 2022 Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 AZ Alkmaar