Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Fri 14 Apr, 20:00
Excelsior
21 Full time
Go Ahead Eagles
Excelsior 2–1 Go Ahead Eagles

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 27%
Away 40%

💡 Go Ahead Eagles have a slight edge — leaning Go Ahead Eagles, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1370 v 1463 Go Ahead Eagles rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Excelsior v Go Ahead Eagles

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Why we predict this

  • Go Ahead Eagles is the stronger side on Power Rating (1463 vs 1370).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Go Ahead Eagles
Form Index
Go Ahead Eagles
Goal expectation
Go Ahead Eagles
Home advantage
Excelsior

Green = favours Excelsior · Blue = favours Go Ahead Eagles. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ExcelsiorLLWDL0.8 ppg
Go Ahead EaglesDLWDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Excelsior1370
Go Ahead Eagles1463
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 28% · 38%
Power Rating35% · 24% · 41%
Machine-learning32% · 30% · 38%

AI match preview

Excelsior and Go Ahead Eagles face off in an Eredivisie clash where the away side holds a slight edge with a 40% chance of victory, though a draw is also a strong possibility at 27%. The match is expected to be closely contested, with projected goals just under 1.5 for each team and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance both teams will score, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.49

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Excelsior 2–1 Go Ahead Eagles
Oct 2022 Go Ahead Eagles 3–1 Excelsior