Nijmegen vs Vitesse Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sun 16 Apr, 12:15
Nijmegen
14 Full time
Vitesse
Nijmegen 1–4 Vitesse

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 25%
Away 27%

💡 Nijmegen are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1519 v 1455 Nijmegen rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Nijmegen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1519 vs 1455).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nijmegen
Form Index
Nijmegen
Goal expectation
Nijmegen
Home advantage
Nijmegen

Green = favours Nijmegen · Blue = favours Vitesse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NijmegenLDWLD1.0 ppg
VitesseLLDLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Nijmegen1519
Vitesse1455
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 27% · 25%
Power Rating57% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning53% · 29% · 18%

AI match preview

Nijmegen hosts Vitesse in an Eredivisie clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 48% chance of victory, while a draw or away win are less favored at 25% and 27% respectively. The model projects a closely contested match with an expected goals tally of 1.66 for Nijmegen and 1.16 for Vitesse, suggesting a likely 1-1 scoreline. With over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 57%, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.16

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Nijmegen 1–4 Vitesse
Jan 2023 Vitesse 0–0 Nijmegen