Vitesse vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sat 22 Apr, 21:00
Vitesse
00 Full time
Excelsior
Vitesse 0–0 Excelsior

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 20%
Away 16%

💡 Vitesse are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 76.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1481 v 1381 Vitesse rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vitesse v Excelsior

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Why we predict this

  • Vitesse is the stronger side on Power Rating (1481 vs 1381).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vitesse
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Vitesse
Home advantage
Vitesse

Green = favours Vitesse · Blue = favours Excelsior. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VitesseLDLWW1.4 ppg
ExcelsiorLWDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Vitesse1481
Excelsior1381
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 23% · 14%
Power Rating63% · 12% · 25%
Machine-learning57% · 26% · 17%

AI match preview

Vitesse enters this Eredivisie clash as the strong favorite with a 64% chance of securing a home win, backed by a solid confidence rating of 76/100. The model projects Vitesse to score just over two goals on average, while Excelsior is expected to net less than one, making a 2-0 scoreline the most likely outcome. With just over half the probability for both over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, this match promises competitive moments, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.03 – 0.90

Most likely score

2-0

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Vitesse 0–0 Excelsior
Aug 2022 Excelsior 3–1 Vitesse