AZ Alkmaar vs Waalwijk Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sun 23 Apr, 20:00
AZ Alkmaar
30 Full time
Waalwijk
AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Waalwijk

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (66%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 66%
Draw 19%
Away 15%

💡 AZ Alkmaar are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 80.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 80.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1595 v 1492 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on AZ Alkmaar v Waalwijk

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Why we predict this

  • AZ Alkmaar is the stronger side on Power Rating (1595 vs 1492).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar
Form Index
AZ Alkmaar
Goal expectation
AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage
AZ Alkmaar

Green = favours AZ Alkmaar · Blue = favours Waalwijk. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AZ AlkmaarWLDLW1.4 ppg
WaalwijkLWLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar1595
Waalwijk1492
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 22% · 16%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning58% · 26% · 16%

AI match preview

AZ Alkmaar enters this Eredivisie clash with Waalwijk as clear favorites, holding a 66% chance of a home win according to the model, supported by an expected goals tally of 2.23 to 1.09. Despite the home advantage, the most likely scoreline is a tight 1-1 draw, reflecting the 19% draw probability and balanced goal expectations. With a 65% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging contest, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.23 – 1.09

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Waalwijk
Nov 2022 Waalwijk 3–1 AZ Alkmaar