Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sat 6 May, 18:45
Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 PSV Eindhoven

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (50%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 24%
Away 50%

💡 PSV Eindhoven are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1580 v 1657 PSV Eindhoven rated higher
Form Index 2 v 2.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • PSV Eindhoven is the stronger side on Power Rating (1657 vs 1580).
  • PSV Eindhoven is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 2.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven
Form Index
PSV Eindhoven
Goal expectation
Sparta Rotterdam
Home advantage
Sparta Rotterdam

Green = favours Sparta Rotterdam · Blue = favours PSV Eindhoven. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sparta RotterdamWLWWD2 ppg
PSV EindhovenDWWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Sparta Rotterdam1580
PSV Eindhoven1657
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 25% · 35%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning36% · 28% · 37%

AI match preview

Sparta Rotterdam hosts PSV Eindhoven in a tightly contested Eredivisie clash, with the model giving the visitors a 50% chance to win but also highlighting a strong likelihood of a draw at 24%. Despite PSV’s slight edge in the 1X2 market, the expected goals are close (1.81 for Sparta, 1.68 for PSV), suggesting a competitive match that could well end 1-1. With a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance both teams score, fans can anticipate an open game, though these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.81 – 1.68

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 68%

Under 32%

Both teams to score

Yes 69%

No 31%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 PSV Eindhoven
Jan 2023 PSV Eindhoven 0–0 Sparta Rotterdam