Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sat 13 May, 20:00
Heerenveen
00 Full time
Excelsior
Heerenveen 0–0 Excelsior

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (62%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 62%
Draw 21%
Away 17%

💡 Heerenveen are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 74.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 74.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1467 v 1380 Heerenveen rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Heerenveen v Excelsior

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Why we predict this

  • Heerenveen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1467 vs 1380).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Heerenveen
Form Index
Heerenveen
Goal expectation
Heerenveen
Home advantage
Heerenveen

Green = favours Heerenveen · Blue = favours Excelsior. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HeerenveenDWLLW1.4 ppg
ExcelsiorDLWDL1 ppg
Power Rating
Heerenveen1467
Excelsior1380
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 22% · 13%
Power Rating61% · 13% · 26%
Machine-learning60% · 27% · 13%

AI match preview

Heerenveen enter this Eredivisie clash with a strong 62% probability of securing a home victory against Excelsior, supported by an expected goals advantage of 2.08 to 0.83. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with a moderate 56% chance of the match producing over 2.5 goals and a roughly even 51% likelihood of both teams scoring. These projections highlight trends based on current data, so please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.08 – 0.83

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Heerenveen 0–0 Excelsior
Nov 2022 Excelsior 0–1 Heerenveen