AZ Alkmaar vs FC Emmen Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sun 14 May, 20:00
AZ Alkmaar
51 Full time
FC Emmen
AZ Alkmaar 5–1 FC Emmen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (71%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 71%
Draw 17%
Away 12%

💡 AZ Alkmaar are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 86.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 86.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1609 v 1401 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on AZ Alkmaar v FC Emmen

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Why we predict this

  • AZ Alkmaar is the stronger side on Power Rating (1609 vs 1401).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar
Form Index
AZ Alkmaar
Goal expectation
AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage
AZ Alkmaar

Green = favours AZ Alkmaar · Blue = favours FC Emmen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AZ AlkmaarDLWWD1.6 ppg
FC EmmenWDLWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar1609
FC Emmen1401
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model72% · 18% · 10%
Power Rating73% · 12% · 15%
Machine-learning65% · 22% · 13%

AI match preview

AZ Alkmaar are strong favorites to claim victory against FC Emmen, with a 71% probability of a home win and an expected 2.51 goals scored to just 0.88 conceded. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, reflecting AZ’s solid attacking edge and defensive stability. There's also a 66% chance the match will see over 2.5 goals, and a 55% likelihood both teams will score, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.51 – 0.88

Most likely score

2-0

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 66%

Under 34%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 AZ Alkmaar 5–1 FC Emmen
Sept 2022 FC Emmen 0–3 AZ Alkmaar