Groningen vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sun 14 May, 14:30
Groningen
23 Full time
Ajax
Groningen 2–3 Ajax

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (73%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 11%
Draw 16%
Away 73%

💡 Ajax are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 89.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 89.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1347 v 1637 Ajax rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Ajax is the stronger side on Power Rating (1637 vs 1347).
  • Ajax is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ajax
Form Index
Ajax
Goal expectation
Ajax
Home advantage
Groningen

Green = favours Groningen · Blue = favours Ajax. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GroningenLLLLD0.2 ppg
AjaxDWWLD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Groningen1347
Ajax1637
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model10% · 17% · 73%
Power Rating19% · 12% · 69%
Machine-learning14% · 25% · 62%

AI match preview

Ajax are strong favorites to claim victory at Groningen with a 73% chance, supported by an expected goals advantage of 2.76 to 1.01. The model suggests a competitive encounter likely ending 2-1 to the visitors, with a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance both teams will score. These projections highlight trends based on data, so please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.01 – 2.76

Most likely score

1-2

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 73%

Under 27%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Groningen 2–3 Ajax
Aug 2022 Ajax 6–1 Groningen