Ajax vs Utrecht Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sun 21 May, 14:30
Ajax
31 Full time
Utrecht
Ajax 3–1 Utrecht

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (69%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 69%
Draw 17%
Away 14%

💡 Ajax are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 83.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 83.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1641 v 1551 Ajax rated higher
Form Index 2 v 2.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Ajax is the stronger side on Power Rating (1641 vs 1551).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ajax
Form Index
Utrecht
Goal expectation
Ajax
Home advantage
Ajax

Green = favours Ajax · Blue = favours Utrecht. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AjaxWWLDW2 ppg
UtrechtWWLWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Ajax1641
Utrecht1551
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model69% · 17% · 14%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning61% · 25% · 14%

AI match preview

Ajax enter this Eredivisie clash with a strong 69% probability of securing a home win, backed by an expected goal tally of nearly 3 compared to Utrecht’s 1.36. The model projects a closely contested 2-1 scoreline, with a high likelihood (81%) of the match featuring over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance that both teams will find the net. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly—gamble only if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.97 – 1.36

Most likely score

2-1

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 81%

Under 19%

Both teams to score

Yes 71%

No 29%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Johan Cruijff ArenA Amsterdam, Netherlands Capacity 55,865 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Ajax 3–1 Utrecht
Aug 2022 Utrecht 0–2 Ajax