PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sun 21 May, 14:30
PSV Eindhoven
33 Full time
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven 3–3 Heerenveen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (75%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 75%
Draw 15%
Away 9%

💡 PSV Eindhoven are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 92.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 92.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1671 v 1462 PSV Eindhoven rated higher
Form Index 3 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on PSV Eindhoven v Heerenveen

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Why we predict this

  • PSV Eindhoven is the stronger side on Power Rating (1671 vs 1462).
  • PSV Eindhoven is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven
Form Index
PSV Eindhoven
Goal expectation
PSV Eindhoven
Home advantage
PSV Eindhoven

Green = favours PSV Eindhoven · Blue = favours Heerenveen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
PSV EindhovenWWWWW3 ppg
HeerenveenWLLWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven1671
Heerenveen1462
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model73% · 19% · 9%
Power Rating73% · 12% · 15%
Machine-learning66% · 24% · 10%

AI match preview

PSV Eindhoven enters this Eredivisie clash as strong favorites, with a 75% probability of securing a home win and an expected 2.38 goals compared to Heerenveen's 0.76. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline is most likely, reflecting PSV's offensive edge and defensive solidity. While over 2.5 goals has a 61% chance, both teams scoring is less certain at 49%; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.38 – 0.76

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Philips Stadion Eindhoven, Netherlands Capacity 35,000 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 PSV Eindhoven 3–3 Heerenveen
Oct 2022 Heerenveen 0–1 PSV Eindhoven