Vitesse vs Groningen Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sun 21 May, 14:30
Vitesse
60 Full time
Groningen
Vitesse 6–0 Groningen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (62%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 62%
Draw 22%
Away 17%

💡 Vitesse are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 73.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 73.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1468 v 1342 Vitesse rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 0.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Vitesse is the stronger side on Power Rating (1468 vs 1342).
  • Vitesse is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vitesse
Form Index
Vitesse
Goal expectation
Vitesse
Home advantage
Vitesse

Green = favours Vitesse · Blue = favours Groningen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VitesseWWDLW2.0 ppg
GroningenLLLDL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Vitesse1468
Groningen1342
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 29% · 21%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning55% · 29% · 16%

AI match preview

Vitesse are favored to win this Eredivisie clash against Groningen, with a 62% probability and a confidence rating of 73/100, supported by expected goals of 1.50 to 0.91. Despite the home advantage, the model suggests a close encounter, highlighting a 22% chance of a draw and the most likely scoreline being 1-1. With under 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring just under 50%, this match could be a tight, tactical battle—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.50 – 0.91

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Vitesse 6–0 Groningen
Sept 2022 Groningen 0–1 Vitesse