Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Eredivisie 22/23 · Sun 28 May, 14:30
Groningen
05 Full time
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen 0–5 Sparta Rotterdam

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (50%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 26%
Draw 24%
Away 50%

💡 Sparta Rotterdam are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 57.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1330 v 1561 Sparta Rotterdam rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Sparta Rotterdam is the stronger side on Power Rating (1561 vs 1330).
  • Sparta Rotterdam is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sparta Rotterdam
Form Index
Sparta Rotterdam
Goal expectation
Sparta Rotterdam
Home advantage
Groningen

Green = favours Groningen · Blue = favours Sparta Rotterdam. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GroningenLLDLL0.2 ppg
Sparta RotterdamWDLLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Groningen1330
Sparta Rotterdam1561
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model18% · 25% · 57%
Power Rating24% · 12% · 64%
Machine-learning21% · 30% · 49%

AI match preview

Groningen host Sparta Rotterdam in an Eredivisie clash where the model favors an away win at 50%, though a draw or home victory remain plausible with probabilities close behind. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Sparta edging the scoring at 1.87 to Groningen’s 0.98, and a 1-1 draw emerges as the most likely scoreline. With a 54% chance for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.98 – 1.87

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2023 Groningen 0–5 Sparta Rotterdam
Sept 2022 Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 Groningen