Nijmegen vs Twente Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sat 20 Jan, 15:30
Nijmegen
10 Full time
Twente
Nijmegen 1–0 Twente

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (46%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 26%
Away 46%

💡 Twente are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 50.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1520 v 1599 Twente rated higher
Form Index LWWWD v LWWDW Nijmegen 2.0 · Twente 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Twente is the stronger side on Power Rating (1599 vs 1520).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Twente
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Twente
Home advantage
Nijmegen

Green = favours Nijmegen · Blue = favours Twente. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NijmegenLWWWD2.0 ppg
TwenteLWWDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Nijmegen1520
Twente1599
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 23% · 52%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning31% · 33% · 36%

AI match preview

Nijmegen hosts Twente in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 46% probability, though a draw remains a close possibility at 26%. The expected goals suggest an open game with 1.42 for Nijmegen and 2.11 for Twente, pointing to a likely competitive encounter possibly ending 1-1. With a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and 68% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging match—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 2.11

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 69%

Under 31%

Both teams to score

Yes 68%

No 32%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 102+ matches)

NijmegenTwente
5.1 Corners 5.9
1.7 Cards 1.4
10.6 Fouls 10.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Nijmegen 1–0 Twente
Nov 2023 Twente 3–3 Nijmegen