AZ Alkmaar vs Zwolle Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sat 20 Jan, 19:00
AZ Alkmaar
22 Full time
Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Zwolle

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (67%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 67%
Draw 16%
Away 17%

💡 AZ Alkmaar are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 80.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 80.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1569 v 1471 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index DLWLL v LWLDD AZ Alkmaar 0.8 · Zwolle 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on AZ Alkmaar v Zwolle

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • AZ Alkmaar is the stronger side on Power Rating (1569 vs 1471).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar
Form Index
Zwolle
Goal expectation
AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage
AZ Alkmaar

Green = favours AZ Alkmaar · Blue = favours Zwolle. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AZ AlkmaarDLWLL0.8 ppg
ZwolleLWLDD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar1569
Zwolle1471
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model60% · 21% · 20%
Power Rating63% · 12% · 25%
Machine-learning61% · 15% · 24%

AI match preview

AZ Alkmaar are favored to secure a home win against Zwolle with a 67% probability, supported by an expected goals tally of 2.45 to 1.41. The model projects a closely contested 2-1 scoreline, with a strong likelihood of both teams scoring (70%) and the match exceeding 2.5 goals (74%). These projections are statistical estimates—please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.45 – 1.41

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 74%

Under 26%

Both teams to score

Yes 70%

No 30%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Zwolle
Sept 2023 Zwolle 0–3 AZ Alkmaar