Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 21 Jan, 11:15
Utrecht
11 Full time
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht 1–1 PSV Eindhoven

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (73%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 11%
Draw 16%
Away 73%

💡 PSV Eindhoven are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 88.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 88.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1471 v 1722 PSV Eindhoven rated higher
Form Index WDWDD v WWWWW Utrecht 1.8 · PSV Eindhoven 3.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Utrecht v PSV Eindhoven

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Why we predict this

  • PSV Eindhoven is the stronger side on Power Rating (1722 vs 1471).
  • PSV Eindhoven is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (4.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven
Form Index
PSV Eindhoven
Goal expectation
PSV Eindhoven
Home advantage
Utrecht

Green = favours Utrecht · Blue = favours PSV Eindhoven. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UtrechtWDWDD1.8 ppg
PSV EindhovenWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Utrecht1471
PSV Eindhoven1722
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model1% · 5% · 94%
Power Rating22% · 12% · 66%
Machine-learning2% · 28% · 71%

AI match preview

PSV Eindhoven heads to Utrecht as strong favorites with a 73% chance of an away win, supported by a high confidence rating of 88.6/100. The model projects a dominant performance from PSV, expecting a 4.13 to 0.51 goal advantage and a most likely scoreline of 0-4, while an over 2.5 goals outcome is also probable at 84%. However, with only a 39% chance of both teams scoring, fans should anticipate a potentially one-sided affair; remember these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.51 – 4.13

Most likely score

0-4

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 84%

Under 16%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Utrecht 1–1 PSV Eindhoven
Aug 2023 PSV Eindhoven 2–0 Utrecht