Ajax vs Waalwijk Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 21 Jan, 15:45
Ajax
41 Full time
Waalwijk
Ajax 4–1 Waalwijk

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (72%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 72%
Draw 15%
Away 13%

💡 Ajax are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 88.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 88.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1541 v 1419 Ajax rated higher
Form Index WWWDW v DLLDL Ajax 2.6 · Waalwijk 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ajax v Waalwijk

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Ajax is the stronger side on Power Rating (1541 vs 1419).
  • Ajax is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ajax
Form Index
Ajax
Goal expectation
Ajax
Home advantage
Ajax

Green = favours Ajax · Blue = favours Waalwijk. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AjaxWWWDW2.6 ppg
WaalwijkDLLDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Ajax1541
Waalwijk1419
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model63% · 23% · 14%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning84% · 9% · 7%

AI match preview

Ajax are strong favorites to claim victory against Waalwijk, with a 72% probability reflecting their solid home advantage and superior expected goals of 2.06 compared to Waalwijk's 0.89. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, though a draw or an upset win for Waalwijk remains possible. With a moderate 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% probability for both teams to score, fans can anticipate a competitive encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.06 – 0.89

Most likely score

2-0

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Johan Cruijff ArenA Amsterdam, Netherlands Capacity 55,865 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Ajax 4–1 Waalwijk
Dec 2023 Waalwijk 2–3 Ajax