Waalwijk vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sat 27 Jan, 17:45
Waalwijk
11 Full time
Sparta Rotterdam
Waalwijk 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 27%
Away 40%

💡 Sparta Rotterdam have a slight edge — leaning Sparta Rotterdam, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1409 v 1500 Sparta Rotterdam rated higher
Form Index LLDLL v WLDWL Waalwijk 0.2 · Sparta Rotterdam 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Sparta Rotterdam is the stronger side on Power Rating (1500 vs 1409).
  • Sparta Rotterdam is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sparta Rotterdam
Form Index
Sparta Rotterdam
Goal expectation
Sparta Rotterdam
Home advantage
Waalwijk

Green = favours Waalwijk · Blue = favours Sparta Rotterdam. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WaalwijkLLDLL0.2 ppg
Sparta RotterdamWLDWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Waalwijk1409
Sparta Rotterdam1500
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model15% · 24% · 61%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning24% · 30% · 45%

AI match preview

Waalwijk host Sparta Rotterdam in an Eredivisie clash where the away side holds a slight edge with a 40% chance of victory, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 27%. The model projects a moderately open game with expected goals of 0.86 for Waalwijk and 1.94 for Sparta, suggesting both teams could find the net and a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline. Over 2.5 goals is slightly favored at 53%, with both teams to score also near even odds at 51%; as always, these are statistical projections and fans should gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.86 – 1.94

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Waalwijk 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam
Oct 2023 Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 Waalwijk