Excelsior vs Utrecht Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sat 27 Jan, 20:00
Excelsior
11 Full time
Utrecht
Excelsior 1–1 Utrecht

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 25%
Away 35%

💡 Excelsior have a slight edge — leaning Excelsior, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1477 v 1476 Excelsior rated higher
Form Index DLDLW v DWDDD Excelsior 1.0 · Utrecht 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Excelsior v Utrecht

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1477 vs 1476).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Utrecht
Goal expectation
Excelsior
Home advantage
Excelsior

Green = favours Excelsior · Blue = favours Utrecht. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ExcelsiorDLDLW1.0 ppg
UtrechtDWDDD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Excelsior1477
Utrecht1476
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 33% · 31%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning64% · 18% · 18%

AI match preview

Excelsior and Utrecht are set for a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the home side slightly favored at a 40% chance to win compared to Utrecht's 35%. The model projects a tight encounter with an expected goals tally of 1.15 for Excelsior and 1.05 for Utrecht, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With only a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate a competitive match; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.05

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Excelsior 1–1 Utrecht
Nov 2023 Utrecht 2–2 Excelsior