Heracles vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sat 27 Jan, 20:00
Heracles
24 Full time
Ajax
Heracles 2–4 Ajax

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (57%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 21%
Draw 23%
Away 57%

💡 Ajax are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1431 v 1551 Ajax rated higher
Form Index LLLWD v WWDWW Heracles 0.8 · Ajax 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Heracles v Ajax

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Why we predict this

  • Ajax is the stronger side on Power Rating (1551 vs 1431).
  • Ajax is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ajax
Form Index
Ajax
Goal expectation
Ajax
Home advantage
Heracles

Green = favours Heracles · Blue = favours Ajax. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HeraclesLLLWD0.8 ppg
AjaxWWDWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Heracles1431
Ajax1551
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 20% · 56%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 45%
Machine-learning11% · 31% · 58%

AI match preview

Ajax are favored to claim a victory at Heracles with a 57% probability, supported by a solid confidence rating of 66.2 out of 100. The model projects a competitive match with an expected goals tally of 1.70 for Heracles and 2.58 for Ajax, making a 2-1 away win the most likely scoreline. High-scoring action seems probable, with an 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% likelihood of both teams finding the net; remember, these are statistical projections and all betting should be approached responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.70 – 2.58

Most likely score

1-2

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 80%

Under 20%

Both teams to score

Yes 76%

No 24%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Heracles 2–4 Ajax
Aug 2023 Ajax 4–1 Heracles