Almere City vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Fri 2 Feb, 19:00
Almere City
21 Full time
Excelsior
Almere City 2–1 Excelsior

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (37%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 27%
Away 36%

💡 Almere City have a slight edge — leaning Almere City, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 36.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1444 v 1474 Excelsior rated higher
Form Index LWWDL v LDLWD Almere City 1.4 · Excelsior 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Almere City v Excelsior

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1444 vs 1474).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Excelsior
Form Index
Almere City
Goal expectation
Excelsior
Home advantage
Almere City

Green = favours Almere City · Blue = favours Excelsior. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Almere CityLWWDL1.4 ppg
ExcelsiorLDLWD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Almere City1444
Excelsior1474
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 24% · 49%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning21% · 29% · 50%

AI match preview

Almere City and Excelsior are set for a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 37% versus 36% for an away win, and a 27% chance of a draw. The match is expected to be open, with projected goals at 1.53 for Almere and 2.06 for Excelsior, and a 70% probability for both teams to score as well as for the game to exceed 2.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the tight nature of this encounter; please remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.53 – 2.06

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 70%

Under 30%

Both teams to score

Yes 70%

No 30%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Almere City 2–1 Excelsior
Sept 2023 Excelsior 0–0 Almere City