Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sat 3 Feb, 19:00
Ajax
11 Full time
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax 1–1 PSV Eindhoven

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (53%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 23%
Away 53%

💡 PSV Eindhoven are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1565 v 1721 PSV Eindhoven rated higher
Form Index WDWWW v WWWDW Ajax 2.6 · PSV Eindhoven 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ajax v PSV Eindhoven

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Why we predict this

  • PSV Eindhoven is the stronger side on Power Rating (1721 vs 1565).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
PSV Eindhoven
Home advantage
Ajax

Green = favours Ajax · Blue = favours PSV Eindhoven. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AjaxWDWWW2.6 ppg
PSV EindhovenWWWDW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Ajax1565
PSV Eindhoven1721
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model9% · 16% · 74%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 51%
Machine-learning14% · 38% · 48%

AI match preview

Ajax host PSV Eindhoven in a high-stakes Eredivisie clash where the model favors an away win with a 53% probability, reflecting PSV’s stronger offensive projection of 2.75 expected goals compared to Ajax’s 0.94. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, aligning with a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% likelihood both teams will score. These projections offer insight into potential outcomes, but remember to gamble responsibly and only bet if 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.94 – 2.75

Most likely score

0-2

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 71%

Under 29%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Johan Cruijff ArenA Amsterdam, Netherlands Capacity 55,865 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Ajax 1–1 PSV Eindhoven
Oct 2023 PSV Eindhoven 5–2 Ajax