Excelsior vs Twente Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sat 10 Feb, 17:45
Excelsior
03 Full time
Twente
Excelsior 0–3 Twente

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 22%
Draw 26%
Away 52%

💡 Twente are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 58.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1465 v 1599 Twente rated higher
Form Index DLWDL v DWLDW Excelsior 1.0 · Twente 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Excelsior v Twente

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Why we predict this

  • Twente is the stronger side on Power Rating (1599 vs 1465).
  • Twente is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Twente
Form Index
Twente
Goal expectation
Twente
Home advantage
Excelsior

Green = favours Excelsior · Blue = favours Twente. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ExcelsiorDLWDL1.0 ppg
TwenteDWLDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Excelsior1465
Twente1599
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model21% · 26% · 53%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%
Machine-learning25% · 39% · 36%

AI match preview

Excelsior hosts Twente in an Eredivisie clash where the model favors an away win at 52% probability, though a draw is also quite plausible at 26%. The expected goals suggest Twente may edge the game 1.76 to 1.03, yet the most likely scoreline is a balanced 1-1. With a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open contest; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.76

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Excelsior 0–3 Twente
Dec 2023 Twente 4–2 Excelsior