Almere City vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sat 10 Feb, 19:00
Almere City
00 Full time
AZ Alkmaar
Almere City 0–0 AZ Alkmaar

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (52%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 21%
Draw 27%
Away 52%

💡 AZ Alkmaar are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 58.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1454 v 1552 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index WWDLW v LLDDL Almere City 2.0 · AZ Alkmaar 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Almere City v AZ Alkmaar

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Why we predict this

  • AZ Alkmaar is the stronger side on Power Rating (1552 vs 1454).
  • Almere City is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar
Form Index
Almere City
Goal expectation
AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage
Almere City

Green = favours Almere City · Blue = favours AZ Alkmaar. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Almere CityWWDLW2.0 ppg
AZ AlkmaarLLDDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Almere City1454
AZ Alkmaar1552
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model16% · 25% · 60%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning15% · 39% · 46%

AI match preview

Almere City hosts AZ Alkmaar in an Eredivisie clash where the model favors an away win at 52% probability, though a draw is also a strong possibility at 27%. Expected goals suggest AZ could edge the scoring with 1.90 compared to Almere’s 0.89, but the most likely scoreline remains a 1-1 stalemate. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score hovering just above 50%, this match promises competitive action; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.89 – 1.90

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Almere City 0–0 AZ Alkmaar
Dec 2023 AZ Alkmaar 4–1 Almere City