Heerenveen vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 11 Feb, 13:30
Heerenveen
32 Full time
Ajax
Heerenveen 3–2 Ajax

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (46%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 25%
Away 46%

💡 Ajax are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 50.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1464 v 1568 Ajax rated higher
Form Index LDLDD v DWWWD Heerenveen 0.6 · Ajax 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Heerenveen v Ajax

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Why we predict this

  • Ajax is the stronger side on Power Rating (1568 vs 1464).
  • Ajax is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ajax
Form Index
Ajax
Goal expectation
Heerenveen
Home advantage
Heerenveen

Green = favours Heerenveen · Blue = favours Ajax. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HeerenveenLDLDD0.6 ppg
AjaxDWWWD2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Heerenveen1464
Ajax1568
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 21% · 31%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 43%
Machine-learning14% · 35% · 51%

AI match preview

Heerenveen host Ajax in an Eredivisie clash where the model gives the away side a 46% chance of victory, slightly edging the home win probability of 30%. With expected goals favoring Heerenveen at 2.34 compared to Ajax’s 1.89, a competitive 2-1 scoreline is the most likely outcome, supported by a strong 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and 77% probability both teams will score. These projections highlight an exciting encounter, but remember these are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.34 – 1.89

Most likely score

2-1

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 79%

Under 21%

Both teams to score

Yes 77%

No 23%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Heerenveen 3–2 Ajax
Nov 2023 Ajax 4–1 Heerenveen