Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sat 17 Feb, 17:45
Sparta Rotterdam
42 Full time
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam 4–2 Excelsior

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 24%
Away 33%

💡 Sparta Rotterdam have a slight edge — leaning Sparta Rotterdam, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1472 v 1449 Sparta Rotterdam rated higher
Form Index WLDLL v LWDLL Sparta Rotterdam 0.8 · Excelsior 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sparta Rotterdam v Excelsior

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1472 vs 1449).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sparta Rotterdam
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Excelsior
Home advantage
Sparta Rotterdam

Green = favours Sparta Rotterdam · Blue = favours Excelsior. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sparta RotterdamWLDLL0.8 ppg
ExcelsiorLWDLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Sparta Rotterdam1472
Excelsior1449
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 25% · 47%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning30% · 24% · 46%

AI match preview

Sparta Rotterdam hosts Excelsior in what promises to be a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 43% probability. The expected goals suggest a tight game, with 1.41 for Sparta and 1.85 for Excelsior, and a 1-1 draw emerges as the most likely scoreline. With a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% probability for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.85

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 63%

Under 37%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Sparta Rotterdam 4–2 Excelsior
Oct 2023 Excelsior 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam