Ajax vs Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 18 Feb, 13:30
Ajax
22 Full time
Nijmegen
Ajax 2–2 Nijmegen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 20%
Away 20%

💡 Ajax are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 70.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 70.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1556 v 1522 Ajax rated higher
Form Index WWWDL v DWDWL Ajax 2.0 · Nijmegen 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ajax v Nijmegen

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1556 vs 1522).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ajax
Form Index
Ajax
Goal expectation
Ajax
Home advantage
Ajax

Green = favours Ajax · Blue = favours Nijmegen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AjaxWWWDL2.0 ppg
NijmegenDWDWL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Ajax1556
Nijmegen1522
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 20% · 18%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning59% · 20% · 21%

AI match preview

Ajax enters this Eredivisie clash with a strong 60% probability of securing a home win against Nijmegen, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.52 to 1.36. The model suggests a competitive encounter likely to end 2-1, with a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% probability that both teams will score. These projections highlight potential outcomes based on statistical analysis—please remember to gamble responsibly and only if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.52 – 1.36

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 74%

Under 26%

Both teams to score

Yes 69%

No 31%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Johan Cruijff ArenA Amsterdam, Netherlands Capacity 55,865 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Ajax 2–2 Nijmegen
Dec 2023 Nijmegen 1–2 Ajax