Utrecht vs Heracles Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Fri 23 Feb, 19:00
Utrecht
10 Full time
Heracles
Utrecht 1–0 Heracles

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (62%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 62%
Draw 18%
Away 20%

💡 Utrecht are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 73.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 73.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1519 v 1413 Utrecht rated higher
Form Index DDWWW v DLLWL Utrecht 2.2 · Heracles 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Utrecht v Heracles

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Why we predict this

  • Utrecht is the stronger side on Power Rating (1519 vs 1413).
  • Utrecht is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Utrecht
Form Index
Utrecht
Goal expectation
Utrecht
Home advantage
Utrecht

Green = favours Utrecht · Blue = favours Heracles. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UtrechtDDWWW2.2 ppg
HeraclesDLLWL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Utrecht1519
Heracles1413
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 22% · 24%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning45% · 20% · 35%

AI match preview

Utrecht enters this Eredivisie clash with Heracles as the favored side, holding a 62% chance of securing victory according to model projections, supported by an expected goals tally of 2.24 against Heracles' 1.48. Despite the home advantage, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive encounter with a strong 70% probability for both teams to score and a 72% chance of the match exceeding 2.5 goals. These statistical insights offer a nuanced view of the contest, but remember to approach betting with caution and responsibility (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.24 – 1.48

Most likely score

1-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 72%

Under 28%

Both teams to score

Yes 70%

No 30%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Utrecht 1–0 Heracles
Sept 2023 Heracles 1–3 Utrecht