Excelsior vs Vitesse Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 25 Feb, 11:15
Excelsior
12 Full time
Vitesse
Excelsior 1–2 Vitesse

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 21%
Away 23%

💡 Excelsior are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1437 v 1358 Excelsior rated higher
Form Index WDLLL v LLLLD Excelsior 0.8 · Vitesse 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Excelsior v Vitesse

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Excelsior is the stronger side on Power Rating (1437 vs 1358).
  • Excelsior is in clearly better recent form (0.8 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Excelsior
Form Index
Excelsior
Goal expectation
Excelsior
Home advantage
Excelsior

Green = favours Excelsior · Blue = favours Vitesse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ExcelsiorWDLLL0.8 ppg
VitesseLLLLD0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Excelsior1437
Vitesse1358
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 22% · 16%
Power Rating60% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning73% · 13% · 14%

AI match preview

Excelsior enter this Eredivisie clash with a 56% chance of securing a home victory, supported by an expected goals tally of 2.23 compared to Vitesse’s 1.09. Despite the home advantage, the model’s most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive encounter with a 60% probability of both teams scoring. With over 2.5 goals forecasted at 64%, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these predictions are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.23 – 1.09

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Excelsior 1–2 Vitesse
Oct 2023 Vitesse 0–0 Excelsior