AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 25 Feb, 15:45
AZ Alkmaar
20 Full time
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Ajax

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 24%
Away 28%

💡 AZ Alkmaar are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1560 v 1553 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index DDLDW v WWDLD AZ Alkmaar 1.2 · Ajax 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on AZ Alkmaar v Ajax

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1560 vs 1553).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.8 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Ajax
Goal expectation
AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage
AZ Alkmaar

Green = favours AZ Alkmaar · Blue = favours Ajax. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AZ AlkmaarDDLDW1.2 ppg
AjaxWWDLD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar1560
Ajax1553
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 18% · 20%
Power Rating48% · 20% · 32%
Machine-learning25% · 30% · 45%

AI match preview

AZ Alkmaar hosts Ajax in a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 48% probability and an expected 2-1 scoreline. The game is projected to be open and attacking, boasting an 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% likelihood that both teams will find the net. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly when considering any bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.82 – 1.62

Most likely score

2-1

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 82%

Under 18%

Both teams to score

Yes 76%

No 24%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Ajax
Oct 2023 Ajax 1–2 AZ Alkmaar