Heracles vs Almere City Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 3 Mar, 19:00
Heracles
22 Full time
Almere City
Heracles 2–2 Almere City

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 28%
Away 34%

💡 Heracles have a slight edge — leaning Heracles, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1407 v 1459 Almere City rated higher
Form Index LLWLL v LWDWL Heracles 0.6 · Almere City 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Heracles v Almere City

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Why we predict this

  • Almere City is the stronger side on Power Rating (1459 vs 1407).
  • Almere City is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Almere City
Form Index
Almere City
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Heracles

Green = favours Heracles · Blue = favours Almere City. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HeraclesLLWLL0.6 ppg
Almere CityLWDWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Heracles1407
Almere City1459
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 27% · 36%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning47% · 26% · 27%

AI match preview

Heracles host Almere City in an Eredivisie clash with the model slightly favoring a home win at 39%, though a draw or an away victory remain plausible outcomes. Both sides are projected to score nearly equally, with an expected goals tally close to 1.5 each, suggesting a tightly contested match likely to end around 1-1. There’s a moderate probability for over 2.5 goals (59%) and both teams to score (63%), but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.51

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Heracles 2–2 Almere City
Nov 2023 Almere City 0–5 Heracles