Excelsior vs Waalwijk Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sat 16 Mar, 19:00
Excelsior
11 Full time
Waalwijk
Excelsior 1–1 Waalwijk

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 26%
Away 29%

💡 Excelsior are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1398 v 1413 Waalwijk rated higher
Form Index LLLLL v WLLLW Excelsior 0.0 · Waalwijk 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Excelsior v Waalwijk

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1398 vs 1413).
  • Waalwijk is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Waalwijk
Form Index
Excelsior
Goal expectation
Excelsior
Home advantage
Excelsior

Green = favours Excelsior · Blue = favours Waalwijk. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ExcelsiorLLLLL0.0 ppg
WaalwijkWLLLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Excelsior1398
Waalwijk1413
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 29% · 21%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning61% · 19% · 20%

AI match preview

Excelsior hosts Waalwijk in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 45%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 26%. With expected goals of 1.50 for Excelsior and 0.88 for Waalwijk, a tight 1-1 scoreline appears most likely, reflecting balanced attacking chances. Fans can also anticipate a moderate likelihood of both teams scoring (47%) and under 2.5 goals (58%). Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.50 – 0.88

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Excelsior 1–1 Waalwijk
Dec 2023 Waalwijk 2–2 Excelsior