Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 17 Mar, 11:15
Volendam
04 Full time
AZ Alkmaar
Volendam 0–4 AZ Alkmaar

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (71%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 10%
Draw 18%
Away 71%

💡 AZ Alkmaar are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 85.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 85.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1342 v 1581 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index LDLLD v DWWDW Volendam 0.4 · AZ Alkmaar 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Volendam v AZ Alkmaar

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Why we predict this

  • AZ Alkmaar is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1342).
  • AZ Alkmaar is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar
Form Index
AZ Alkmaar
Goal expectation
AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage
Volendam

Green = favours Volendam · Blue = favours AZ Alkmaar. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VolendamLDLLD0.4 ppg
AZ AlkmaarDWWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Volendam1342
AZ Alkmaar1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model7% · 17% · 77%
Power Rating24% · 12% · 64%
Machine-learning10% · 42% · 48%

AI match preview

Volendam host AZ Alkmaar in an Eredivisie clash where the visitors are strong favorites, with a 71% chance of securing a win according to model projections. AZ Alkmaar is expected to dominate offensively, with an anticipated 2.51 goals compared to Volendam’s 0.67, making a 0-2 scoreline the most probable outcome. While there's a 62% chance the match will see over 2.5 goals, only 46% probability exists for both teams to score, highlighting AZ’s defensive solidity; remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.67 – 2.51

Most likely score

0-2

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Volendam 0–4 AZ Alkmaar
Nov 2023 AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Volendam