Utrecht vs Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 17 Mar, 13:30
Utrecht
10 Full time
Nijmegen
Utrecht 1–0 Nijmegen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 27%
Away 34%

💡 Utrecht have a slight edge — leaning Utrecht, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1512 v 1560 Nijmegen rated higher
Form Index WWWLD v LDWWW Utrecht 2.0 · Nijmegen 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Utrecht v Nijmegen

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Why we predict this

  • Nijmegen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1560 vs 1512).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nijmegen
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Nijmegen
Home advantage
Utrecht

Green = favours Utrecht · Blue = favours Nijmegen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UtrechtWWWLD2.0 ppg
NijmegenLDWWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Utrecht1512
Nijmegen1560
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 23% · 41%
Power Rating39% · 26% · 35%
Machine-learning16% · 32% · 52%

AI match preview

Utrecht and Nijmegen are set for a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with Utrecht holding a slight edge at 39% to claim victory, while Nijmegen follows closely at 34%, and a draw sits at 27%. The model projects a tight match with an expected scoreline of 1-1 and a high probability (73%) of both teams finding the net and the game exceeding 2.5 goals. These projections are based on statistical analysis and should be considered as probabilities rather than certainties—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.84 – 1.96

Most likely score

1-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 73%

Under 27%

Both teams to score

Yes 73%

No 27%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Utrecht 1–0 Nijmegen
Sept 2023 Nijmegen 3–0 Utrecht