Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sat 30 Mar, 15:30
Nijmegen
31 Full time
PSV Eindhoven
Nijmegen 3–1 PSV Eindhoven

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (66%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 13%
Draw 20%
Away 66%

💡 PSV Eindhoven are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 78.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 78.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1549 v 1749 PSV Eindhoven rated higher
Form Index DWWWL v WWDWW Nijmegen 2.0 · PSV Eindhoven 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nijmegen v PSV Eindhoven

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Why we predict this

  • PSV Eindhoven is the stronger side on Power Rating (1749 vs 1549).
  • PSV Eindhoven is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 2.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven
Form Index
PSV Eindhoven
Goal expectation
PSV Eindhoven
Home advantage
Nijmegen

Green = favours Nijmegen · Blue = favours PSV Eindhoven. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NijmegenDWWWL2.0 ppg
PSV EindhovenWWDWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Nijmegen1549
PSV Eindhoven1749
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model8% · 16% · 76%
Power Rating27% · 15% · 58%
Machine-learning7% · 39% · 54%

AI match preview

PSV Eindhoven are strong favorites to take all three points at Nijmegen, with a 66% probability of an away win and an expected 2.71 goals scored compared to Nijmegen’s 0.84. The model suggests a 0-2 scoreline as the most likely outcome, supported by a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% probability that both teams will score. These projections highlight the statistical edge for PSV but remember, all predictions carry uncertainty—gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.84 – 2.71

Most likely score

0-2

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 69%

Under 31%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Nijmegen 3–1 PSV Eindhoven
Sept 2023 PSV Eindhoven 4–0 Nijmegen