Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sat 30 Mar, 19:00
Go Ahead Eagles
30 Full time
Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles 3–0 Excelsior

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (61%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 61%
Draw 18%
Away 20%

💡 Go Ahead Eagles are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 72.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 72.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1504 v 1396 Go Ahead Eagles rated higher
Form Index WLWLL v LLLLD Go Ahead Eagles 1.2 · Excelsior 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Go Ahead Eagles v Excelsior

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Go Ahead Eagles is the stronger side on Power Rating (1504 vs 1396).
  • Go Ahead Eagles is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Go Ahead Eagles
Form Index
Go Ahead Eagles
Goal expectation
Go Ahead Eagles
Home advantage
Go Ahead Eagles

Green = favours Go Ahead Eagles · Blue = favours Excelsior. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Go Ahead EaglesWLWLL1.2 ppg
ExcelsiorLLLLD0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Go Ahead Eagles1504
Excelsior1396
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model67% · 18% · 16%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning42% · 21% · 37%

AI match preview

Go Ahead Eagles are favored to claim victory against Excelsior with a 61% probability, supported by a strong confidence rating of 72.2/100 and an expected goals tally of 2.85 to 1.40. The model suggests a competitive encounter with a most likely scoreline of 2-1, while an 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and 72% likelihood of both teams scoring points to an open, attacking game. Remember, these are statistical projections and not guarantees—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.85 – 1.40

Most likely score

2-1

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 80%

Under 20%

Both teams to score

Yes 72%

No 28%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Go Ahead Eagles 3–0 Excelsior
Dec 2023 Excelsior 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles