Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Tue 2 Apr, 20:00
Excelsior
02 Full time
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior 0–2 PSV Eindhoven

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (77%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 7%
Draw 17%
Away 77%

💡 PSV Eindhoven are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 93.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 93.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1386 v 1727 PSV Eindhoven rated higher
Form Index LLLDL v WDWWL Excelsior 0.2 · PSV Eindhoven 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Excelsior v PSV Eindhoven

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Why we predict this

  • PSV Eindhoven is the stronger side on Power Rating (1727 vs 1386).
  • PSV Eindhoven is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (3.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven
Form Index
PSV Eindhoven
Goal expectation
PSV Eindhoven
Home advantage
Excelsior

Green = favours Excelsior · Blue = favours PSV Eindhoven. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ExcelsiorLLLDL0.2 ppg
PSV EindhovenWDWWL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Excelsior1386
PSV Eindhoven1727
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model4% · 10% · 86%
Power Rating15% · 12% · 73%
Machine-learning3% · 48% · 49%

AI match preview

PSV Eindhoven are strong favorites to secure an away win against Excelsior, with a 77% probability and high confidence from the model. The expected goals heavily favor PSV, projecting a 3.38 to 0.71 scoreline, most likely ending 3-0. There's also a 77% chance the match will see over 2.5 goals, though both teams scoring is less certain at 49%. Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.71 – 3.38

Most likely score

0-3

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 77%

Under 23%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Excelsior 0–2 PSV Eindhoven
Jan 2024 PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Excelsior