Utrecht vs Zwolle Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Wed 3 Apr, 20:00
Utrecht
51 Full time
Zwolle
Utrecht 5–1 Zwolle

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 20%
Away 24%

💡 Utrecht are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1516 v 1431 Utrecht rated higher
Form Index WLDWL v LLDLL Utrecht 1.4 · Zwolle 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Utrecht v Zwolle

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Why we predict this

  • Utrecht is the stronger side on Power Rating (1516 vs 1431).
  • Utrecht is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Utrecht
Form Index
Utrecht
Goal expectation
Zwolle
Home advantage
Utrecht

Green = favours Utrecht · Blue = favours Zwolle. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UtrechtWLDWL1.4 ppg
ZwolleLLDLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Utrecht1516
Zwolle1431
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 25% · 39%
Power Rating61% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning42% · 20% · 39%

AI match preview

Utrecht hosts Zwolle in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors a home win with a 56% probability, though a draw remains a plausible 20% outcome. Both teams are projected to score, with a 68% chance of BTTS and an expected goals tally suggesting a tight, competitive match likely to see around 1-1 goals each. Over 2.5 goals is also a strong possibility at 66%, but as always, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.74

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 66%

Under 34%

Both teams to score

Yes 68%

No 32%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Utrecht 5–1 Zwolle
Aug 2023 Zwolle 1–0 Utrecht