Zwolle vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sat 6 Apr, 20:00
Zwolle
21 Full time
Excelsior
Zwolle 2–1 Excelsior

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 23%
Away 31%

💡 Zwolle are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1419 v 1380 Zwolle rated higher
Form Index LDLLL v LLDLL Zwolle 0.2 · Excelsior 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Zwolle v Excelsior

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1419 vs 1380).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Zwolle
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Excelsior
Home advantage
Zwolle

Green = favours Zwolle · Blue = favours Excelsior. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ZwolleLDLLL0.2 ppg
ExcelsiorLLDLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Zwolle1419
Excelsior1380
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 24% · 45%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning41% · 21% · 39%

AI match preview

Zwolle hosts Excelsior in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 45%, though a draw and away victory remain plausible outcomes. With expected goals at 1.57 for Zwolle and 1.92 for Excelsior, a tight 1-1 draw appears the most likely scoreline, supported by a strong 69% chance both teams will score. Additionally, there’s a 68% probability the match will see over 2.5 goals, indicating an open, attacking game. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.92

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 68%

Under 32%

Both teams to score

Yes 69%

No 31%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Zwolle 2–1 Excelsior
Oct 2023 Excelsior 2–4 Zwolle