Excelsior vs Volendam Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Fri 12 Apr, 20:00
Excelsior
40 Full time
Volendam
Excelsior 4–0 Volendam

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 22%
Away 25%

💡 Excelsior are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1373 v 1355 Excelsior rated higher
Form Index LDLLL v DLDDW Excelsior 0.2 · Volendam 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Excelsior v Volendam

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1373 vs 1355).
  • Volendam is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Excelsior
Form Index
Volendam
Goal expectation
Excelsior
Home advantage
Excelsior

Green = favours Excelsior · Blue = favours Volendam. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ExcelsiorLDLLL0.2 ppg
VolendamDLDDW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Excelsior1373
Volendam1355
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 26% · 30%
Power Rating50% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning53% · 20% · 27%

AI match preview

Excelsior holds a slight edge with a 52% chance to win against Volendam, according to model projections, while a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals tally suggests a competitive match with 1.72 for Excelsior and 1.39 for Volendam, and a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline. With a 60% probability for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter; however, these are statistical forecasts and all betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.39

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Excelsior 4–0 Volendam
Oct 2023 Volendam 3–1 Excelsior