Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 28 Apr, 12:15
Nijmegen
03 Full time
AZ Alkmaar
Nijmegen 0–3 AZ Alkmaar

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 24%
Away 39%

💡 AZ Alkmaar have a slight edge — leaning AZ Alkmaar, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1575 v 1564 Nijmegen rated higher
Form Index LWDWD v WWLLW Nijmegen 1.6 · AZ Alkmaar 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nijmegen v AZ Alkmaar

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1575 vs 1564).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nijmegen
Form Index
AZ Alkmaar
Goal expectation
Nijmegen
Home advantage
Nijmegen

Green = favours Nijmegen · Blue = favours AZ Alkmaar. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NijmegenLWDWD1.6 ppg
AZ AlkmaarWWLLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Nijmegen1575
AZ Alkmaar1564
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 26% · 28%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning42% · 23% · 35%

AI match preview

Nijmegen and AZ Alkmaar are set to battle in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors an away win for AZ with a 39% probability, though a home victory or draw remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals suggest a competitive encounter with 1.76 for Nijmegen and 1.36 for AZ, aligning with the most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and 63% probability for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.36

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Nijmegen 0–3 AZ Alkmaar
Dec 2023 AZ Alkmaar 1–2 Nijmegen