Waalwijk vs Utrecht Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 28 Apr, 14:30
Waalwijk
22 Full time
Utrecht
Waalwijk 2–2 Utrecht

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 29%
Away 44%

💡 Utrecht have a slight edge — leaning Utrecht, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1397 v 1547 Utrecht rated higher
Form Index DDDLL v WLWWW Waalwijk 0.6 · Utrecht 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Waalwijk v Utrecht

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Why we predict this

  • Utrecht is the stronger side on Power Rating (1547 vs 1397).
  • Utrecht is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Utrecht
Form Index
Utrecht
Goal expectation
Utrecht
Home advantage
Waalwijk

Green = favours Waalwijk · Blue = favours Utrecht. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WaalwijkDDDLL0.6 ppg
UtrechtWLWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Waalwijk1397
Utrecht1547
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 34% · 37%
Power Rating31% · 19% · 50%
Machine-learning18% · 41% · 41%

AI match preview

Waalwijk hosts Utrecht in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 44%, though a draw remains a close possibility at 29%. The expected goals suggest a tight contest with both sides likely to score, reflected in the most probable 1-1 scoreline. With under 2.5 goals and a modest 42% chance of both teams scoring, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.95 – 1.08

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Waalwijk 2–2 Utrecht
Dec 2023 Utrecht 1–1 Waalwijk